Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Martinez vs Thomas Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Thomas Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jonathan MartinezNow 1678
If they win+17→ 1695
If they lose-15→ 1663
Thomas AlmeidaNow 1701
If they win+11→ 1712
If they lose-13→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
4.84
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.93
57%
Strike defense
62%
0.38
Takedown avg.
0.17
36%
Takedown accuracy
14%
68%
Takedown defense
76%
0.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jonathan MartinezThomas Almeida
165017002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
17 (77%)
2 (11%)
Submission
4 (18%)
8 (42%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jonathan Martinez and Thomas Almeida within a point of even.

Thomas Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1678, a 23-point edge.

Jonathan Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Martinez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Almeida 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.