Jonathan Martinez vs Vince Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-0Record16-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Factory XTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Jonathan Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Vince Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1691
If they lose-19→ 1659
If they win+14→ 1631
If they lose-10→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan MartinezVince Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Martinez62%
Vince Morales 38%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Martinez a 62% favorite over Vince Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Jonathan Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1617, a 61-point edge.
Jonathan Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Martinez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Vince Morales 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.