Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Meunier vs Rich Walsh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rich Walsh
au

Rich Walsh

“Filthy Rich”

9-5-0WelterweightUFC

1481Average

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75,0"Reach73.00
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar QuebecTeamVT1 Martial Arts Academy

What's at stake

Jonathan Meunier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Rich Walsh carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jonathan MeunierNow 1660
If they win+8→ 1668
If they lose-24→ 1636
Rich WalshNow 1481
If they win+35→ 1516
If they lose-13→ 1468

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.47
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
51%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.72
70%
Strike defense
59%
0.58
Takedown avg.
1.55
33%
Takedown accuracy
40%
59%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Jonathan MeunierRich Walsh
150015501600165020152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
2 (22%)
Submission
1 (11%)
2 (22%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Meunier78%
Rich Walsh 22%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Meunier a 78% favorite over Rich Walsh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Jonathan Meunier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1481, a 179-point edge.

Rich Walsh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Meunier finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rich Walsh 56%.

Jonathan Meunier carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.