Jonathan Micallef vs Logan Paxton
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record10-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
77"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Combat 1 MMATeamNick Diaz Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
If they win+16→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan MicallefLogan Paxton
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Micallef53%
Logan Paxton 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Micallef a 53% favorite over Logan Paxton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Logan Paxton's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1698), separated by just 2 points.
Jonathan Micallef enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Logan Paxton enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Jonathan Micallef finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Logan Paxton 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.