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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Pearce vs Kai Kamaka III

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kai Kamaka III
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Kai Kamaka III

“The Fighting Hawaiian”

18-8-1FeatherweightUFC

1644Solid

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record18-8-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
71"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan PearceNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Kai Kamaka IIINow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.12
Sig. strikes / min
5.49
55%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.03
54%
Strike defense
55%
5.02
Takedown avg.
1.45
50%
Takedown accuracy
54%
56%
Takedown defense
55%
0.76
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Jonathan PearceKai Kamaka III
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
2 (14%)
Submission
1 (6%)
3 (21%)
Decision
14 (78%)

Combat Edge model read

Kai Kamaka III75%
Jonathan Pearce 25%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Kai Kamaka III a 75% favorite over Jonathan Pearce in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonathan Pearce's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1644), separated by just 10 points.

Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kai Kamaka III enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Pearce finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Kai Kamaka III 22%.

Jonathan Pearce carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.