Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Pearce vs Kai Kamaka III

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Kai Kamaka III
us

Kai Kamaka III

“The Fighting Hawaiian”

18-8-1FeatherweightUFC

1659Good

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record18-8-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
71"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan PearceNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Kai Kamaka IIINow 1659
If they win+12→ 1671
If they lose-12→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.12
Sig. strikes / min
5.40
55%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
54%
Strike defense
56%
5.02
Takedown avg.
1.51
50%
Takedown accuracy
54%
56%
Takedown defense
55%
0.76
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Jonathan PearceKai Kamaka III
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
2 (14%)
Submission
1 (6%)
3 (21%)
Decision
14 (78%)

Combat Edge model read

Kai Kamaka III90%
Jonathan Pearce 10%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kai Kamaka III a 90% favorite over Jonathan Pearce in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1659), separated by just 9 points.

Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Pearce finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Kai Kamaka III 22%.

Jonathan Pearce carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.