Jonathan Pearce vs Omar Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
71"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamThe Goat Shed Academy· 1668 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Jonathan Pearce is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Omar Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1663
If they lose-19→ 1631
If they win+19→ 1607
If they lose-13→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan PearceOmar Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Pearce70%
Omar Morales 30%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Pearce a 70% favorite over Omar Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Jonathan Pearce holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1588, a 62-point edge.
Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Omar Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Pearce finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Omar Morales 64%.
Omar Morales carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.