Jonathan Piersma vs Nad Narimani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record12-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73"Reach40,5"
173 lbsWeight150 lbs
Synthesis BJJTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan PiersmaNad Narimani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Piersma70%
Nad Narimani 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Piersma a 70% favorite over Nad Narimani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nad Narimani's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.
Nad Narimani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Piersma finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Nad Narimani 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.