Jonathan Piersma vs Omar El Dafrawy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record16-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach74"
173 lbsWeight170 lbs
Synthesis BJJTeamSoma Fight Club· 1625 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan PiersmaOmar El Dafrawy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Omar El Dafrawy54%
Jonathan Piersma 46%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Omar El Dafrawy a 54% favorite over Jonathan Piersma in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1660), separated by just 10 points.
Omar El Dafrawy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jonathan Piersma finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Omar El Dafrawy 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.