Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Rivera vs Leon Shahbazyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team AwesomeTeamGlendale Fighting Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan RiveraNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Leon ShahbazyanNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.03
Sig. strikes / min
6.33
40%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.18
60%
Strike defense
32%
0.88
Takedown avg.
1.46
28%
Takedown accuracy
50%
93%
Takedown defense
0%
0.11
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jonathan RiveraLeon Shahbazyan
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
4 (50%)
Submission
11 (92%)
1 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leon Shahbazyan60%
Jonathan Rivera 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leon Shahbazyan a 60% favorite over Jonathan Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonathan Rivera's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1586), separated by just 0 points.

Jonathan Rivera enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jonathan Rivera finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Leon Shahbazyan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.