Jonavin Webb vs Tim Means
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record33-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'2"
41,0"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFit NHB
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonavin WebbTim Means
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonavin Webb70%
Tim Means 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonavin Webb a 70% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Means's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.
Jonavin Webb enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jonavin Webb finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.