Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonavin Webb vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
41,0"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamWCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonavin WebbNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Tymoteusz ŁopaczykNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.47
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
31%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
2.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
31%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
1
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jonavin WebbTymoteusz Łopaczyk
1600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
5 (42%)
Submission
4 (29%)
5 (42%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Tymoteusz Łopaczyk62%
Jonavin Webb 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tymoteusz Łopaczyk a 62% favorite over Jonavin Webb in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonavin Webb's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1645), separated by just 0 points.

Jonavin Webb enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonavin Webb finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.