Jonny Becerra
Elo1520AverageJonny Becerra vs João Lucas Rocha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →Elo1520AverageJoão Lucas Rocha
Elo1567SolidTale of the tape
2-1-0Record4-2-0
TBDDivisionTBD
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeightTBD
TBDTeamTBD
What's at stake
João Lucas Rocha is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Jonny Becerra carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1547
If they lose-21→ 1499
If they win+21→ 1588
If they lose-27→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jonny BecerraJoão Lucas Rocha
Combat Edge model read
João Lucas Rocha58%
Jonny Becerra 42%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes João Lucas Rocha a 58% favorite over Jonny Becerra in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
João Lucas Rocha holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1567 to 1520, a 47-point edge.
João Lucas Rocha enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.