Jonny Carson vs Pedro Ribeiro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record2-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Skrap PackTeamCT Punch Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1533
If they lose-16→ 1501
If they win+24→ 1542
If they lose-24→ 1494
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonny CarsonPedro Ribeiro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Ribeiro61%
Jonny Carson 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Ribeiro a 61% favorite over Jonny Carson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1517 vs 1518), separated by just 1 points.
Jonny Carson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jonny Carson finishes 73% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.