Combat Edge Intelligence

Jora Ayvazyan vs Vinicius Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-1-0Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
70"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club Lion HeartTeamSombra Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jora AyvazyanNow 1740
If they win+16→ 1756
If they lose-16→ 1724
Vinicius OliveiraNow 1744
If they win+16→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1728

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.45
TBD
Takedown accuracy
47%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Jora AyvazyanVinicius Oliveira
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
17 (71%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (8%)
8 (44%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Jora Ayvazyan63%
Vinicius Oliveira 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jora Ayvazyan a 63% favorite over Vinicius Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vinicius Oliveira's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1744), separated by just 4 points.

Jora Ayvazyan enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Jora Ayvazyan finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Oliveira 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.