Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan Espinosa vs Ryoma Shishimoto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record4-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
38,0"Reach-
125 lbsWeight137 lbs
Luttrell-Yee MMATeamFighter's Flow

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jordan EspinosaNow 1572
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560
Ryoma ShishimotoNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.22
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0.75
Takedown avg.
TBD
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.19
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jordan EspinosaRyoma Shishimoto
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
7 (47%)
Submission
2 (50%)
6 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryoma Shishimoto71%
Jordan Espinosa 29%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryoma Shishimoto a 71% favorite over Jordan Espinosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jordan Espinosa's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1566), separated by just 6 points.

Jordan Espinosa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jordan Espinosa finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ryoma Shishimoto 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.