Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan Johnson vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-1Record22-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
41,0"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jordan JohnsonNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.45
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
48%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
54%
Strike defense
60%
3.25
Takedown avg.
1.02
42%
Takedown accuracy
42%
100%
Takedown defense
53%
1.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jordan JohnsonMichał Oleksiejczuk
16501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
4 (33%)
Submission
1 (5%)
6 (50%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk75%
Jordan Johnson 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 75% favorite over Jordan Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1705), separated by just 2 points.

Jordan Johnson finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.