Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan Johnson vs Nikolay Aleksakhin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-1Record26-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'9"
41,0"Reach70"
205 lbsWeight172 lbs
MMA LabTeamAlexander Nevsky (Stary Oskol)

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jordan JohnsonNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Nikolay AleksakhinNow 1702
If they win+12→ 1714
If they lose-12→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.45
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
3.25
Takedown avg.
TBD
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.18
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jordan JohnsonNikolay Aleksakhin
165017001750201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
14 (54%)
4 (33%)
Submission
2 (8%)
6 (50%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Nikolay Aleksakhin61%
Jordan Johnson 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nikolay Aleksakhin a 61% favorite over Jordan Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jordan Johnson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1702), separated by just 1 points.

Jordan Johnson finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nikolay Aleksakhin 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.