Jordan Johnson vs Patrik Kincl
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-1Record30-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
41,0"Reach72"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamAll Sports Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jordan JohnsonPatrik Kincl
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrik Kincl66%
Jordan Johnson 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrik Kincl a 66% favorite over Jordan Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jordan Johnson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1702), separated by just 1 points.
Patrik Kincl enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jordan Johnson finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Patrik Kincl 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.