Jordan Leavitt vs Kurt Holobaugh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record21-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
71"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamGracie United
What's at stake
Jordan Leavitt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kurt Holobaugh carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1707
If they lose-18→ 1675
If they win+13→ 1670
If they lose-11→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jordan LeavittKurt Holobaugh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Leavitt79%
Kurt Holobaugh 21%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Leavitt a 79% favorite over Kurt Holobaugh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Jordan Leavitt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1657, a 36-point edge.
Kurt Holobaugh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jordan Leavitt finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Kurt Holobaugh 81%.
Jordan Leavitt and Kurt Holobaugh share 1 common opponent: Trey Ogden.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.