Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan Leavitt vs Matt Sayles

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record8-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
71"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

Jordan Leavitt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Matt Sayles carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jordan LeavittNow 1693
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-20→ 1673
Matt SaylesNow 1613
If they win+20→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.21
Sig. strikes / min
4.83
57%
Strike accuracy
42%
1.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
59%
Strike defense
62%
3.15
Takedown avg.
0.36
34%
Takedown accuracy
17%
30%
Takedown defense
82%
1.05
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Jordan LeavittMatt Sayles
1600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
7 (54%)
Submission
1 (13%)
4 (31%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Jordan Leavitt79%
Matt Sayles 21%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Leavitt a 79% favorite over Matt Sayles in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Jordan Leavitt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1613, a 80-point edge.

Matt Sayles enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jordan Leavitt finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Matt Sayles 88%.

Jordan Leavitt carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.