Jordan Leavitt vs Matt Wiman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record16-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach68,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamSkrap Pack
What's at stake
Jordan Leavitt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Matt Wiman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-20→ 1673
If they win+15→ 1620
If they lose-9→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jordan LeavittMatt Wiman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Leavitt85%
Matt Wiman 15%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Leavitt a 85% favorite over Matt Wiman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Jordan Leavitt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1605, a 88-point edge.
Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jordan Leavitt finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Matt Wiman 56%.
Jordan Leavitt carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.