Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan Leavitt vs Nik Bagley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nik Bagley

Nik Bagley

“The Perfectionist”

10-1-0FeatherweightCWFC

1694Good

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record10-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
71"Reach-
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jordan LeavittNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Nik BagleyNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.21
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
57%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
3.15
Takedown avg.
TBD
34%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
30%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.05
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jordan LeavittNik Bagley
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
7 (54%)
Submission
7 (70%)
4 (31%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Nik Bagley71%
Jordan Leavitt 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nik Bagley a 71% favorite over Jordan Leavitt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1694), separated by just 1 points.

Nik Bagley enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Jordan Leavitt finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Nik Bagley 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.