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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan Leavitt vs Shane Collins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record8-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Syndicate MMATeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jordan LeavittNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Shane CollinsNow 1694
If they win+24→ 1718
If they lose-24→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.21
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
57%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
3.15
Takedown avg.
Not available
34%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
30%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.05
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jordan LeavittShane Collins
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
7 (54%)
Submission
1 (13%)
4 (31%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Jordan Leavitt63%
Shane Collins 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Leavitt a 63% favorite over Shane Collins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane Collins's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1694), separated by just 1 points.

Shane Collins enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Jordan Leavitt finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Shane Collins 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.