Jordan Leavitt vs Trey Ogden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
71"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamMarathon MMA
What's at stake
Jordan Leavitt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Trey Ogden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1708
If they lose-17→ 1676
If they win+17→ 1683
If they lose-15→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jordan LeavittTrey Ogden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Leavitt71%
Trey Ogden 29%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Leavitt a 71% favorite over Trey Ogden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Jordan Leavitt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1666, a 27-point edge.
Jordan Leavitt finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Trey Ogden 61%.
Jordan Leavitt and Trey Ogden share 1 common opponent: Kurt Holobaugh.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.