Jordan Molinari vs Juancamilo Ronderos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record4-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'3"
-Reach64,5"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jordan MolinariJuancamilo Ronderos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Molinari60%
Juancamilo Ronderos 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Molinari a 60% favorite over Juancamilo Ronderos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Juancamilo Ronderos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1555), separated by just 1 points.
Jordan Molinari enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Juancamilo Ronderos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jordan Molinari finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Juancamilo Ronderos 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.