Jordan Newman vs Roger Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-0-0Record8-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
73"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamEvolve MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1709
If they lose-24→ 1661
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jordan NewmanRoger Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Newman60%
Roger Gracie 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Newman a 60% favorite over Roger Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1681), separated by just 4 points.
Jordan Newman enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Roger Gracie enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jordan Newman finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Roger Gracie 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.