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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan O'Neill vs Rene Pessoa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rene Pessoa
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Rene Pessoa

“Soldado”

26-13-0MiddleweightACA

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record26-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Fight Academy Ireland· 1589 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamPower Lotus Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jordan O'NeillNow 1592
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568
Rene PessoaNow 1592
If they win+12→ 1604
If they lose-12→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jordan O'NeillRene Pessoa
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
1 (25%)
Submission
19 (73%)
2 (50%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Rene Pessoa64%
Jordan O'Neill 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rene Pessoa a 64% favorite over Jordan O'Neill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jordan O'Neill's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.

Jordan O'Neill enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Rene Pessoa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jordan O'Neill finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rene Pessoa 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.