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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan O'Neill vs Ricardo Abreu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
-Reach73,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Academy Ireland· 1585 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamWand Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jordan O'NeillNow 1592
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568
Ricardo AbreuNow 1592
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.79
Not available
Strike accuracy
32%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.98
Not available
Strike defense
68%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.13
Not available
Takedown accuracy
43%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Jordan O'NeillRicardo Abreu
15501600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
1 (25%)
Submission
2 (40%)
2 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Abreu54%
Jordan O'Neill 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Abreu a 54% favorite over Jordan O'Neill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jordan O'Neill's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.

Jordan O'Neill enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jordan O'Neill finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Abreu 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.