Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan Rinaldi vs Keisuke Sasu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record14-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72,0"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
One Kick's GymTeamMaster Japan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jordan RinaldiNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Keisuke SasuNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
35%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
59%
Strike defense
48%
1.45
Takedown avg.
3.76
36%
Takedown accuracy
40%
20%
Takedown defense
62%
1.16
Submission avg.
1.88

Trajectory

Jordan RinaldiKeisuke Sasu
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
8 (57%)
Submission
4 (29%)
5 (36%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Keisuke Sasu62%
Jordan Rinaldi 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keisuke Sasu a 62% favorite over Jordan Rinaldi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jordan Rinaldi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.

Keisuke Sasu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jordan Rinaldi finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Keisuke Sasu 64%.

Jordan Rinaldi carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.