Jordan Wright vs Zac Pauga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record7-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Jordan Wright is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Zac Pauga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-20→ 1630
If they win+20→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jordan WrightZac Pauga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Wright75%
Zac Pauga 25%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Wright a 75% favorite over Zac Pauga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Jordan Wright holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1571, a 79-point edge.
Jordan Wright enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jordan Wright finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Zac Pauga 29%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.