Combat Edge Intelligence

Jorge Calvo vs Takeru Uchida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-8-0Record9-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jorge CalvoNow 1633
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621
Takeru UchidaNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.42
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.63
Not available
Strike defense
25%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.17
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
6.34

Trajectory

Jorge CalvoTakeru Uchida
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
11 (55%)
Submission
9 (100%)
8 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jorge Calvo53%
Takeru Uchida 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Calvo a 53% favorite over Takeru Uchida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takeru Uchida's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1636), separated by just 3 points.

Jorge Calvo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Takeru Uchida enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jorge Calvo finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Takeru Uchida 100%.

Takeru Uchida carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.