Jorge Chacon vs Luiz Dutra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record13-7-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jorge ChaconLuiz Dutra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jorge Chacon78%
Luiz Dutra 22%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Chacon a 78% favorite over Luiz Dutra in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1478 vs 1476), separated by just 2 points.
Luiz Dutra enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luiz Dutra 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.