Jorge Chacon vs Marcio Cabral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TeamBonfim Brothers· 1595 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
If they win+24→ 1523
If they lose-24→ 1475
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
TBDPre-fight Elo1526 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Cabral64%
Jorge Chacon 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 64% favorite over Jorge Chacon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Chacon's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1499), separated by just 1 points.
Marcio Cabral 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.