Combat Edge Intelligence

Jorge Chacon vs Rich Walsh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rich Walsh
au

Rich Walsh

“Filthy Rich”

9-5-0WelterweightUFC

1481Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record9-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
-Reach73.00
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamVT1 Martial Arts Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jorge ChaconNow 1478
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454
Rich WalshNow 1481
If they win+24→ 1505
If they lose-24→ 1457

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.72
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.55
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Jorge ChaconRich Walsh
1500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (11%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Jorge Chacon75%
Rich Walsh 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Chacon a 75% favorite over Rich Walsh in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rich Walsh's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1478 vs 1481), separated by just 3 points.

Rich Walsh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rich Walsh 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.