Combat Edge Intelligence

Jorge Chacon vs Steve White

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record1-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamTeam Wildman Vale Tudo

What's at stake

Jorge Chacon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Steve White carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jorge ChaconNow 1478
If they win+21→ 1499
If they lose-27→ 1451
Steve WhiteNow 1432
If they win+27→ 1459
If they lose-21→ 1411

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jorge ChaconSteve White
145020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Combat Edge model read

Jorge Chacon82%
Steve White 18%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Chacon a 82% favorite over Steve White in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Jorge Chacon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1432, a 46-point edge.

Steve White enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.