Combat Edge Intelligence

Jorge Chacon vs Stevie Lynch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record5-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jorge ChaconNow 1478
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454
Stevie LynchNow 1475
If they win+24→ 1499
If they lose-24→ 1451

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
TBD
Strike accuracy
25%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.06
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jorge Chacon70%
Stevie Lynch 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Chacon a 70% favorite over Stevie Lynch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1478 vs 1475), separated by just 3 points.

Stevie Lynch 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.