Combat Edge Intelligence

Jorge Chacon vs William Macario

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamPejor

What's at stake

Jorge Chacon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — William Macario carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jorge ChaconNow 1478
If they win+23→ 1501
If they lose-25→ 1453
William MacarioNow 1461
If they win+25→ 1486
If they lose-23→ 1438

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.92
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.96
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.85
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
TBD
Takedown defense
79%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jorge ChaconWilliam Macario
145015002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Jorge Chacon78%
William Macario 22%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Chacon a 78% favorite over William Macario in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Jorge Chacon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1461, a 17-point edge.

William Macario enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

William Macario 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.