Jorge de Oliveira vs Niklas Stolze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record14-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach74"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
Predador TeamTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1552
If they lose-17→ 1520
If they win+17→ 1543
If they lose-15→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jorge de OliveiraNiklas Stolze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niklas Stolze59%
Jorge de Oliveira 41%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Niklas Stolze a 59% favorite over Jorge de Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge de Oliveira's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1526), separated by just 11 points.
Jorge de Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Niklas Stolze 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.