Jorge Gurgel vs Patrik Šebek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record4-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
If they win+24→ 1589
If they lose-24→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jorge GurgelPatrik Šebek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jorge Gurgel54%
Patrik Šebek 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Gurgel a 54% favorite over Patrik Šebek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patrik Šebek's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1565), separated by just 1 points.
Jorge Gurgel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jorge Gurgel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Patrik Šebek 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.