Jorge Masvidal vs Kevin Holland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-17-0Record29-15-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
74"Reach81"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamPhalanx MMA Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1781 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1740 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jorge MasvidalKevin Holland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Holland70%
Jorge Masvidal 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Holland a 70% favorite over Jorge Masvidal in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Masvidal's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1736), separated by just 4 points.
Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jorge Masvidal finishes 51% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Holland 79%.
Kevin Holland carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.