Jorge Masvidal vs Pat Healy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-17-0Record34-24-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSports Lab
What's at stake
Jorge Masvidal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Pat Healy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1724
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-8→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1781 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jorge MasvidalPat Healy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jorge Masvidal78%
Pat Healy 22%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Masvidal a 78% favorite over Pat Healy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Jorge Masvidal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1631, a 109-point edge.
Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jorge Masvidal finishes 51% of wins inside the distance, Pat Healy 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.