Jorge Oliveira vs Junior Tafa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-1Record7-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight249 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jorge OliveiraJunior Tafa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Junior Tafa68%
Jorge Oliveira 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Junior Tafa a 68% favorite over Jorge Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Oliveira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1564), separated by just 2 points.
Jorge Oliveira finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Junior Tafa 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.