Combat Edge Intelligence

Jorge Oliveira vs Paulin Begai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paulin Begai
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Paulin Begai

“Le Chaat”

8-5-1Light HeavyweightAFC

1567Solid

Tale of the tape

5-3-1Record8-5-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'5"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Black HouseTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jorge OliveiraNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Paulin BegaiNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jorge OliveiraPaulin Begai
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
3 (60%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jorge Oliveira and Paulin Begai within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1567), separated by just 1 points.

Jorge Oliveira finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Paulin Begai 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.