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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jorge Rivera vs Kendall Grove

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jorge Rivera
us

Jorge Rivera

“El Conquistador”

20-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1681Good

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record24-19-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'6"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Rivera Athletic CenterTeamStraight Rootless Fight Team

What's at stake

Jorge Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Kendall Grove carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jorge RiveraNow 1681
If they win+9→ 1690
If they lose-15→ 1666
Kendall GroveNow 1588
If they win+15→ 1603
If they lose-9→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.27
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
54%
Strike defense
55%
0.91
Takedown avg.
0.61
50%
Takedown accuracy
63%
64%
Takedown defense
57%
0.13
Submission avg.
2.07

Trajectory

Jorge RiveraKendall Grove
16001650170020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

14 (70%)
KO/TKO
8 (33%)
2 (10%)
Submission
10 (42%)
4 (20%)
Decision
6 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Kendall Grove56%
Jorge Rivera 44%Elo baseline: 37%

The Combat Edge model makes Kendall Grove a 56% favorite over Jorge Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Rivera's way (37%).

Jorge Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1588, a 93-point edge.

Jorge Rivera finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Kendall Grove 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.