Jorge Rivera vs Lee Murray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record8-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Rivera Athletic CenterTeamLondon Shootfighters
What's at stake
Jorge Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Lee Murray carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1688
If they lose-17→ 1664
If they win+34→ 1563
If they lose-14→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jorge RiveraLee Murray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jorge Rivera68%
Lee Murray 32%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Rivera a 68% favorite over Lee Murray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Jorge Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1529, a 152-point edge.
Lee Murray enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jorge Rivera finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Lee Murray 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.