Jorge Rivera vs Martin Kampmann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Jorge Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Martin Kampmann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Martin Kampmann a 60% favorite over Jorge Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Rivera's way (43%).
Jorge Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1634, a 47-point edge.
Martin Kampmann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jorge Rivera finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Martin Kampmann 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.