Combat Edge Intelligence

Jorge Rivera vs Nate Quarry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jorge Rivera
us

Jorge Rivera

“El Conquistador”

20-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1681Good

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record12-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Rivera Athletic CenterTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

Jorge Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Nate Quarry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jorge RiveraNow 1681
If they win+8→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1665
Nate QuarryNow 1566
If they win+21→ 1587
If they lose-11→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.27
Sig. strikes / min
4.96
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
54%
Strike defense
66%
0.91
Takedown avg.
0.25
50%
Takedown accuracy
33%
64%
Takedown defense
60%
0.13
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jorge RiveraNate Quarry
155016001650170020082009201020112012

Win method breakdown

14 (70%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
2 (10%)
Submission
2 (17%)
4 (20%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jorge Rivera70%
Nate Quarry 30%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Rivera a 70% favorite over Nate Quarry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Jorge Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1566, a 115-point edge.

Jorge Rivera finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nate Quarry 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.