Combat Edge Intelligence

Jorge Rivera vs Rich Franklin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jorge Rivera
us

Jorge Rivera

“El Conquistador”

20-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1681Good

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record29-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Rivera Athletic CenterTeamTeam Extreme

What's at stake

Rich Franklin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jorge Rivera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jorge RiveraNow 1681
If they win+13→ 1694
If they lose-11→ 1670
Rich FranklinNow 1710
If they win+11→ 1721
If they lose-13→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.27
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
54%
Strike defense
63%
0.91
Takedown avg.
1.31
50%
Takedown accuracy
67%
64%
Takedown defense
63%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Jorge RiveraRich Franklin
16501700201020112012

Win method breakdown

14 (70%)
KO/TKO
20 (69%)
2 (10%)
Submission
5 (17%)
4 (20%)
Decision
4 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Rich Franklin60%
Jorge Rivera 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Rich Franklin a 60% favorite over Jorge Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Rich Franklin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1681, a 29-point edge.

Jorge Rivera finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rich Franklin 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.