Combat Edge Intelligence

Jorge Rivera vs Rob Kimmons

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jorge Rivera
us

Jorge Rivera

“El Conquistador”

20-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1681Good
Rob Kimmons
us

Rob Kimmons

“The Rosedale Reaper”

25-9-0WelterweightEFN

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record25-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Rivera Athletic CenterTeamK2L Grindhouse

What's at stake

Jorge Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Rob Kimmons carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jorge RiveraNow 1681
If they win+9→ 1690
If they lose-15→ 1666
Rob KimmonsNow 1589
If they win+15→ 1604
If they lose-9→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.27
Sig. strikes / min
1.86
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.79
54%
Strike defense
38%
0.91
Takedown avg.
2.08
50%
Takedown accuracy
47%
64%
Takedown defense
25%
0.13
Submission avg.
2.37

Trajectory

Jorge RiveraRob Kimmons
1600165017002010201120122013

Win method breakdown

14 (70%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
2 (10%)
Submission
16 (64%)
4 (20%)
Decision
4 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Jorge Rivera57%
Rob Kimmons 43%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Rivera a 57% favorite over Rob Kimmons in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Jorge Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1589, a 92-point edge.

Jorge Rivera finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rob Kimmons 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.