Combat Edge Intelligence

Jorge Rivera vs Scott Askham

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jorge Rivera
us

Jorge Rivera

“El Conquistador”

20-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1681Good

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach75,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Rivera Athletic CenterTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jorge RiveraNow 1681
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669
Scott AskhamNow 1679
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.27
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
50%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
54%
Strike defense
52%
0.91
Takedown avg.
0.44
50%
Takedown accuracy
18%
64%
Takedown defense
65%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Jorge RiveraScott Askham
16501700201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

14 (70%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
2 (10%)
Submission
2 (10%)
4 (20%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Scott Askham52%
Jorge Rivera 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Scott Askham a 52% favorite over Jorge Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Rivera's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1679), separated by just 2 points.

Jorge Rivera finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Scott Askham 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.